Value bet: Mutilvera to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlfaro to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Alfaro vs Mutilvera preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 2 sees Alfaro take on Mutilvera on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Alfaro and 1.2 for Mutilvera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alfaro 38%, draw 26%, Mutilvera 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Mutilvera to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Alfaro 1–1 Mutilvera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alfaro38%fair 2.64 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.88
Mutilvera37%fair 2.74 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.27Alfaro xG
1.25Mutilvera xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alfaro 1.3 – 1.2 Mutilvera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alfaro to win✓
38%
2.64
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alfaro / FT Alfaro✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Alfaro – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Utebo
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mutilvera
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfaro and Mutilvera.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Alfaro vs Mutilvera?
On our numbers Alfaro have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mutilvera 37%.
How many goals will there be in Alfaro vs Mutilvera?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfaro vs Mutilvera?
Our predicted score is Alfaro 1–1 Mutilvera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alfaro vs Mutilvera?
Alfaro vs Mutilvera (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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