Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUtebo to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceUtebo or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Utebo vs Alfaro preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 2 sees Utebo take on Alfaro on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Molineta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Utebo and 0.7 for Alfaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Utebo 66%, draw 21%, Alfaro 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Utebo to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Utebo 1–0 Alfaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utebo66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
Alfaro13%fair 7.74 · @6.20
2.68Expected goals
1.95Utebo xG
0.72Alfaro xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Utebo 2.0 – 0.7 Alfaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utebo to win✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Utebo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Utebo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Utebo / FT Utebo✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Utebo
No recent results on record.
Alfaro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utebo and Alfaro.
Our pick is Utebo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Utebo vs Alfaro?
On our numbers Utebo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alfaro 13%.
How many goals will there be in Utebo vs Alfaro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utebo vs Alfaro?
Our predicted score is Utebo 1–0 Alfaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Utebo vs Alfaro?
Utebo vs Alfaro (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Molineta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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