Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Amorebieta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmorebieta to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceAmorebieta or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.34
Amorebieta vs Ejea preview and prediction
The match
Ejea travel to Campo Municipal de Urritxe in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 15 February (12:00 WAT) to face Amorebieta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Amorebieta and 0.7 for Ejea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amorebieta 59%, draw 26%, Ejea 15%.
Safer route: Amorebieta or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Amorebieta to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Amorebieta or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amorebieta 1–0 Ejea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amorebieta59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Ejea15%fair 6.67 · @4.20
2.34Expected goals
1.64Amorebieta xG
0.70Ejea xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.6 – 0.7 Ejea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Amorebieta or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.34
–
Form
Amorebieta
No recent results on record.
Ejea
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and Ejea.
Our pick is Amorebieta or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Ejea?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ejea 15%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs Ejea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs Ejea?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–0 Ejea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs Ejea?
Amorebieta vs Ejea (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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