Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Alcorcon vs Europa Fc preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Alcorcon take on Europa Fc on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 15:15 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo. Alcorcon are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Europa Fc sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alcorcon's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Villarreal II 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Europa Fc's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Real Murcia 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alcorcon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Alcorcon and 0.6 for Europa Fc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcorcon 65%, draw 20%, Europa Fc 15%.
Safer route: Alcorcon or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alcorcon to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcorcon 1–0 Europa Fc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcorcon65%fair 1.53 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.20
Europa Fc15%fair 6.85 · @4.10
2.31Expected goals
1.70Alcorcon xG
0.61Europa Fc xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 1.7 – 0.6 Europa Fc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
65%
1.53
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Alcorcon ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Alcorcon – last 6
LWDLDW
19 Apr
vs Villarreal II
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Hércules
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Eldense
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Europa Fc – last 5
LLLLW
26 Apr
vs Real Murcia
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Eldense
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Antequera
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Europa Fc.
Our pick is Alcorcon to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Europa Fc 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 1–0 Europa Fc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Europa Fc?
Alcorcon vs Europa Fc (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
