Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Algeciras to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Villarreal II vs Algeciras preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras travel to Estadio de la Ceramica in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 12 April (11:00 WAT) to face Villarreal II. Villarreal II are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Algeciras sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villarreal II's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Sabadell 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Algeciras's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Ibiza 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Villarreal II and 1.0 for Algeciras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 41%, draw 25%, Algeciras 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Algeciras to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Algeciras34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.23Expected goals
1.18Villarreal II xG
1.04Algeciras xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.2 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
41%
2.45
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✓
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Villarreal II – last 4
DLWW
29 Mar
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
DWWDLD
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Algeciras 34%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Algeciras?
Villarreal II vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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