Value bet: Teruel to win @ 3.65 – our chance 36% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEuropa Fc to win40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.69
Europa Fc vs Teruel preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Europa Fc take on Teruel on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Can Drago. Europa Fc are 16th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Teruel sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Europa Fc's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Eldense 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Teruel's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Villarreal II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Teruel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Europa Fc and 1.0 for Teruel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Europa Fc 40%, draw 24%, Teruel 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Teruel to win at 3.65 – 36% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Europa Fc 1–1 Teruel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Europa Fc40%fair 2.51 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Teruel36%fair 2.80 · @3.65
2.15Expected goals
1.11Europa Fc xG
1.03Teruel xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Europa Fc 1.1 – 1.0 Teruel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Europa Fc to win
40%
2.51
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Europa Fc / FT Europa Fc
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.69
–
Form
Europa Fc – last 4
LLLW
3 Apr
@ Eldense
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs Algeciras
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Juventud Torremolinos
2–3
L
22 Feb
@ Antequera
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Teruel – last 5
WDDWW
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Europa Fc and Teruel.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Europa Fc vs Teruel?
On our numbers Europa Fc have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Teruel 36%.
How many goals will there be in Europa Fc vs Teruel?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Europa Fc vs Teruel?
Our predicted score is Europa Fc 1–1 Teruel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Europa Fc vs Teruel?
Europa Fc vs Teruel (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Can Drago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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