Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Ibiza vs Marbella preview and prediction
The match
Marbella travel to Palladium Can Misses in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 15 March (18:15 WAT) to face Ibiza.
Form guide
Ibiza's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Tarazona 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marbella's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Real Murcia 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Ibiza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Ibiza and 0.4 for Marbella. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ibiza 71%, draw 19%, Marbella 10%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ibiza to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ibiza 1–0 Marbella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ibiza71%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Marbella10%fair 9.92 · @7.50
2.02Expected goals
1.64Ibiza xG
0.38Marbella xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–018%
0–013%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ibiza 1.6 – 0.4 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ibiza to win✗
71%
1.42
1.40
Double chance
Ibiza or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ibiza / FT Ibiza✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.61
–
Form
Ibiza – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Marbella – last 3
DWL
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Algeciras
4–1
W
15 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ibiza and Marbella.
Our pick is Ibiza to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ibiza vs Marbella?
On our numbers Ibiza have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Marbella 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ibiza vs Marbella?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ibiza vs Marbella?
Our predicted score is Ibiza 1–0 Marbella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ibiza vs Marbella?
Ibiza vs Marbella (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Palladium Can Misses.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico1
Tarazona1