Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Alcorcon vs Algeciras preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras travel to Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 15 March (12:00 WAT) to face Alcorcon. Alcorcon are 5th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Algeciras sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alcorcon's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Juventud Torremolinos 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Algeciras's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Antequera 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Alcorcon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Alcorcon and 0.6 for Algeciras. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Alcorcon to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcorcon 1–0 Algeciras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcorcon60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Algeciras15%fair 6.68 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.44Alcorcon xG
0.56Algeciras xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 1.4 – 0.6 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
Alcorcon – last 3
LDW
8 Mar
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Eldense
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 3
LDL
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Marbella
1–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Algeciras.
Our pick is Alcorcon to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Algeciras 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 1–0 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Algeciras?
Alcorcon vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sevilla Atletico1
Tarazona1
Marbella1