Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTeruel to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.84
Teruel vs Villarreal II preview and prediction
The match
Teruel host Villarreal II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Pinilla. Teruel are 20th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Villarreal II sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Teruel's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Algeciras 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Teruel and 0.9 for Villarreal II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Teruel 41%, draw 26%, Villarreal II 34%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Villarreal II to win at 3.35 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Teruel 1–0 Villarreal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Teruel41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Villarreal II34%fair 2.98 · @3.35
1.98Expected goals
1.06Teruel xG
0.92Villarreal II xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.1 – 0.9 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Teruel to win✓
41%
2.45
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.84
–
Form
Teruel – last 4
DDWW
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Teruel vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Teruel have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Villarreal II 34%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–0 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Teruel vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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