Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: FC Cartagena to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTarazona to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Tarazona vs FC Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
FC Cartagena travel to Municipal de Tarazona in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT) to face Tarazona.
Form guide
FC Cartagena's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Sabadell 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Tarazona and 0.9 for FC Cartagena. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tarazona 40%, draw 26%, FC Cartagena 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: FC Cartagena to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tarazona 1–0 FC Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tarazona40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
FC Cartagena34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
1.99Expected goals
1.05Tarazona xG
0.94FC Cartagena xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tarazona 1.1 – 0.9 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tarazona to win✗
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Tarazona – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 4
DWWW
1 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tarazona and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Tarazona vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tarazona vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Tarazona have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Cartagena 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tarazona vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tarazona vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Tarazona 1–0 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tarazona vs FC Cartagena?
Tarazona vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Tarazona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
