Value bet: Antequera to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnastic to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Gimnastic vs Antequera preview and prediction
The match
Gimnastic host Antequera in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona. Gimnastic are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Antequera sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Gimnastic and 1.2 for Antequera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Antequera to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gimnastic 1–1 Antequera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnastic39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Antequera36%fair 2.77 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.23Gimnastic xG
1.16Antequera xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.2 – 1.2 Antequera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnastic to win✗
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnastic / FT Gimnastic✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
Gimnastic – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Antequera – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Europa Fc
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Hércules
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnastic and Antequera.
What is the prediction for Gimnastic vs Antequera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Antequera?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Antequera 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Antequera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Antequera?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Antequera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Antequera?
Gimnastic vs Antequera (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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