Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Lancaster City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLancaster City to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceLancaster City or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees Lancaster City take on Morpeth Town on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Giant Axe Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Lancaster City and 0.7 for Morpeth Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 42%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lancaster City 65%, draw 19%, Morpeth Town 16%.
Safer route: Lancaster City or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lancaster City to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lancaster City 1–0 Morpeth Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lancaster City65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.60
Morpeth Town16%fair 6.28 · @4.33
2.51Expected goals
1.80Lancaster City xG
0.71Morpeth Town xG
42%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.8 – 0.7 Morpeth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Lancaster City or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Lancaster City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Lancaster City – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Hednesford Town
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Morpeth Town – last 2
LL
10 Mar
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Workington
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Morpeth Town.
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Our pick is Lancaster City to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Morpeth Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Our predicted score is Lancaster City 1–0 Morpeth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Giant Axe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hednesford Town3
Prescot Cables0
Rushall Olympic1