Value bet: Gainsborough Trinity to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStockton Town to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity preview and prediction
The match
Stockton Town host Gainsborough Trinity in the Non League Premier Northern on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Map Group UK Stadium. Stockton Town are 16th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gainsborough Trinity sit 9th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gainsborough Trinity's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Bamber Bridge 0–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Stockton Town and 1.3 for Gainsborough Trinity. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stockton Town 39%, draw 23%, Gainsborough Trinity 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Gainsborough Trinity to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Stockton Town 1–1 Gainsborough Trinity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stockton Town39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Gainsborough Trinity38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.31Stockton Town xG
1.27Gainsborough Trinity xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Stockton Town 1.3 – 1.3 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockton Town to win✓
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
10.08
–
Form
Stockton Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Ashton United
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gainsborough Trinity – last 5
LWWDW
24 Mar
vs Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Hyde United
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Leek Town
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockton Town and Gainsborough Trinity.
What is the prediction for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers Stockton Town have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gainsborough Trinity 38%.
How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our predicted score is Stockton Town 1–1 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Map Group UK Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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