Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Leiston to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeiston to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
AFC Sudbury vs Leiston preview and prediction
The match
Leiston travel to The Elite Travel Stadium in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face AFC Sudbury.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for AFC Sudbury and 2.0 for Leiston. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Sudbury 21%, draw 23%, Leiston 56%.
Safer route: Leiston or draw (79%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Leiston to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leiston or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: AFC Sudbury 1–1 Leiston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Sudbury21%fair 4.78 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Leiston56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
3.16Expected goals
1.16AFC Sudbury xG
2.00Leiston xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–37%
2–16%
From our goals model: AFC Sudbury 1.2 – 2.0 Leiston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leiston to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Leiston or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Leiston ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leiston / FT Leiston✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
AFC Sudbury
No recent results on record.
Leiston
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Sudbury and Leiston.
What is the prediction for AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?
Our pick is Leiston or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?
On our numbers AFC Sudbury have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leiston 56%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?
Our predicted score is AFC Sudbury 1–1 Leiston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AFC Sudbury vs Leiston?
AFC Sudbury vs Leiston (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Elite Travel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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