Value bet: Stamford to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarwell to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Barwell vs Stamford preview and prediction
The match
Barwell host Stamford in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Crown Skip Hire Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Barwell and 1.4 for Stamford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barwell 40%, draw 23%, Stamford 37%.
Value angle: Stamford to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Barwell 2–1 Stamford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barwell40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Stamford37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
2.77Expected goals
1.41Barwell xG
1.35Stamford xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Barwell 1.4 – 1.4 Stamford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barwell to win✓
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barwell / FT Barwell✗
22%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Barwell – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Redditch United
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stamford
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barwell and Stamford.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Barwell vs Stamford?
On our numbers Barwell have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stamford 37%.
How many goals will there be in Barwell vs Stamford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barwell vs Stamford?
Our predicted score is Barwell 2–1 Stamford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Barwell vs Stamford?
Barwell vs Stamford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Crown Skip Hire Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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