The National 1 sees Dijon take on Chateauroux on Thursday 30 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Form guide
Dijon's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Valenciennes 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chateauroux's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Fleury 91 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Dijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Dijon and 0.6 for Chateauroux. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dijon 2–0 Chateauroux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dijon69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.00
Chateauroux12%fair 8.26 · @7.40
2.61Expected goals
1.96Dijon xG
0.65Chateauroux xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dijon 2.0 – 0.6 Chateauroux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Double chance
Dijon or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Half-time result
Dijon ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Dijon – last 6
WDWLWW
24 Apr
@ Valenciennes
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Sochaux
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Fleury 91
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Versailles
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ Quevilly
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chateauroux – last 6
LLLDWL
24 Apr
vs Fleury 91
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Versailles
0–4
L
10 Apr
vs Quevilly
3–5
L
3 Apr
@ Aubagne
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Concarneau
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Chateauroux.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dijon vs Chateauroux?
On our numbers Dijon have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chateauroux 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Chateauroux?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Chateauroux?
Our predicted score is Dijon 2–0 Chateauroux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Chateauroux?
Dijon vs Chateauroux (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Concarneau0
Gobelins0