Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConcarneau to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.01
Concarneau vs Gobelins preview and prediction
The match
Gobelins travel to Stade Guy Piriou in the National 1 on Thursday 30 April (18:30 WAT) to face Concarneau. Concarneau are 6th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Gobelins sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Concarneau's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Stade Briochin 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gobelins's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Villefranche 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Concarneau and 0.6 for Gobelins. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Concarneau to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concarneau65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Gobelins12%fair 8.22 · @4.40
2.35Expected goals
1.75Concarneau xG
0.60Gobelins xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.8 – 0.6 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
65%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Concarneau or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Concarneau ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.01
–
Form
Concarneau – last 6
WDDLLL
24 Apr
@ Stade Briochin
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Rouen
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ Orleans
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Le Puy Foot
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–3
L
10 Apr
vs Caen
0–3
L
3 Apr
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Rouen
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Orleans
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concarneau vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 12%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Concarneau vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon1
Chateauroux2