Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Caen to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaen to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceCaen or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Caen vs Stade Briochin preview and prediction
The match
Stade Briochin travel to Stade Michel d'Ornano in the National 1 on Friday 3 April (18:30 WAT) to face Caen.
Form guide
Caen's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Rouen 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Stade Briochin's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Gobelins 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Caen and 0.7 for Stade Briochin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Caen to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caen or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Caen 1–0 Stade Briochin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caen62%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
Stade Briochin17%fair 5.97 · @4.20
2.48Expected goals
1.74Caen xG
0.74Stade Briochin xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Caen 1.7 – 0.7 Stade Briochin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✗
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Caen or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Caen ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
Caen – last 5
DLDLD
27 Mar
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Stade Briochin – last 6
LWLLDL
27 Mar
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Rouen
2–3
L
6 Mar
vs Orleans
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Fleury 91
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caen and Stade Briochin.
What is the prediction for Caen vs Stade Briochin?
Our pick is Caen or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caen vs Stade Briochin?
On our numbers Caen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Briochin 17%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Stade Briochin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Stade Briochin?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–0 Stade Briochin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Stade Briochin?
Caen vs Stade Briochin (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel d'Ornano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux1
Dijon1
Sochaux0