National 1 · France · Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Aubagne vs Chateauroux prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.2 – 1.2 Chateauroux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Aubagne and Chateauroux on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Aubagne have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Chateauroux have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Aubagne, 1.2 for Chateauroux). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.84.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chateauroux to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux ✗ | 21% | 4.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.20 | – |
Form
Aubagne – last 6
| 27 Mar | @ Valenciennes | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Mar | vs Sochaux | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Mar | @ Dijon | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Mar | vs Fleury 91 | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | @ Versailles | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Feb | vs Quevilly | 0–1 | L |
Chateauroux – last 6
| 27 Mar | vs Concarneau | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | @ Stade Briochin | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | vs Villefranche | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Mar | @ Caen | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Feb | vs Gobelins | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Feb | vs Rouen | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Chateauroux.
National 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 12 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Caen | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Versailles | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Amiens | 12 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Concarneau | 12 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Cannes | 12 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |  Le Puy Foot | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Gobelins | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Quevilly | 12 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 |  Fleury 91 | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 12 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More National 1 predictions
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Stade Briochin1
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Sochaux0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chateauroux 39%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Aubagne vs Chateauroux?
Aubagne vs Chateauroux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.