Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✓44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Aubagne vs Fleury 91 preview and prediction
The match
Aubagne host Fleury 91 in the National 1 on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Aubagne are 17th with 7 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Fleury 91 sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aubagne's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fleury 91's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Concarneau 0–4 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Aubagne and 1.3 for Fleury 91. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 2.40 – 44% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Aubagne 0–1 Fleury 91. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.80
Fleury 9144%fair 2.25 · @2.40
2.33Expected goals
1.04Aubagne xG
1.29Fleury 91 xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.0 – 1.3 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✓
44%
2.25
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Aubagne – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fleury 91 – last 3
LWD
27 Feb
vs Concarneau
0–4
L
17 Feb
@ Stade Briochin
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Fleury 91.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fleury 91 44%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Fleury 91, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
Aubagne vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux2
Dijon1
Stade Briochin1