Value bet: Versailles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVersailles to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceVersailles or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Versailles vs Aubagne preview and prediction
The match
Versailles host Aubagne in the National 1 on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre. Versailles are 4th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Versailles and 0.8 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Versailles to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Versailles 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Versailles58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.10
Aubagne21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
2.43Expected goals
1.61Versailles xG
0.82Aubagne xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Versailles 1.6 – 0.8 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Versailles to win✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Versailles or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Versailles / FT Versailles✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Versailles – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Versailles and Aubagne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Versailles vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Versailles have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aubagne 21%.
How many goals will there be in Versailles vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Versailles vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Versailles 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Versailles vs Aubagne?
Versailles vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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