Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Gobelins to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChateauroux to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Chateauroux vs Gobelins preview and prediction
The match
Chateauroux host Gobelins in the National 1 on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Chateauroux and 1.1 for Gobelins. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Gobelins to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chateauroux 1–1 Gobelins. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chateauroux43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Gobelins33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.36Expected goals
1.28Chateauroux xG
1.08Gobelins xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.3 – 1.1 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chateauroux to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Chateauroux – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Rouen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Valenciennes
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Chateauroux vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Stade Briochin1
Sochaux2