Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.29
Frosinone vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Padova travel to Stadio Benito Stirpe in the Serie B on Sunday 5 April (16:15 WAT) to face Frosinone.
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Sudtirol 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Padova's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Venezia 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Frosinone and 0.9 for Padova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frosinone 65%, draw 17%, Padova 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Frosinone to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Frosinone 2–0 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.45
Padova18%fair 5.52 · @5.60
2.94Expected goals
2.02Frosinone xG
0.92Padova xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 2.0 – 0.9 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
9.29
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
WWWDDD
22 Mar
@ Sudtirol
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Bari
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sampdoria
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Pescara
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Empoli
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Padova – last 3
LDD
17 Mar
@ Venezia
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Padova.
Our pick is Frosinone to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Frosinone vs Padova?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Padova 18%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Padova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Padova?
Frosinone vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
