Palermo host Avellino in the Serie B on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Avellino's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Sampdoria 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Palermo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Palermo and 0.8 for Avellino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palermo 63%, draw 18%, Avellino 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Palermo 2–0 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo63%fair 1.59 · @1.52
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.00
Avellino19%fair 5.29 · @6.00
2.67Expected goals
1.83Palermo xG
0.84Avellino xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.8 – 0.8 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
63%
1.59
1.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Palermo – last 5
DWWLW
17 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
LWWLDL
22 Mar
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Sudtirol
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Venezia
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Avellino.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Palermo vs Avellino?
On our numbers Palermo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Avellino 19%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Palermo 2–0 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Avellino?
Palermo vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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