Mantova travel to Stadio Renzo Barbera in the Serie B on Wednesday 4 March (20:00 WAT) to face Palermo. Palermo are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Mantova sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Palermo and 1.0 for Mantova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palermo 63%, draw 21%, Mantova 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Palermo 1–1 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.10
Mantova16%fair 6.21 · @5.80
2.86Expected goals
1.88Palermo xG
0.98Mantova xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.9 – 1.0 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Double chance
Palermo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Palermo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Palermo – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Pescara
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Sudtirol
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palermo and Mantova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?
On our numbers Palermo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mantova 16%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–1 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Mantova?
Palermo vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bari2
Frosinone2
Pescara2