Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ahly to win ✓63% · @1.54
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.17
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly preview and prediction
The match
Al Ahly travel to Alexandria Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 23 February (20:30 WAT) to face Smouha SC. Smouha SC are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Al Ahly sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Smouha SC and 1.5 for Al Ahly. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smouha SC 13%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 63%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smouha SC13%fair 7.84 · @6.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.40
Al Ahly63%fair 1.60 · @1.54
2.04Expected goals
0.55Smouha SC xG
1.49Al Ahly xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Smouha SC 0.6 – 1.5 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahly to win✓
63%
1.60
1.54
Double chance
Al Ahly or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.17
–
Form
Smouha SC – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Al Ittihad
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Ahly – last 2
WD
19 Feb
vs El Gouna FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs FAR Rabat
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Smouha SC and Al Ahly.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
On our numbers Smouha SC have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Ahly 63%.
How many goals will there be in Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Our predicted score is Smouha SC 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Smouha SC vs Al Ahly?
Smouha SC vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Alexandria Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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