Value bet: El Mokawloon to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Mokawloon to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.95
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon preview and prediction
The match
El Mokawloon travel to Cairo International Stadium in the Premier League on Monday 23 February (20:30 WAT) to face El Gouna FC. El Gouna FC are 20th with 3 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while El Mokawloon sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for El Gouna FC and 1.0 for El Mokawloon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Gouna FC 32%, draw 31%, El Mokawloon 37%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: El Mokawloon to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Gouna FC32%fair 3.17 · @2.55
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.66
El Mokawloon37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
1.80Expected goals
0.78El Gouna FC xG
1.01El Mokawloon xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Gouna FC 0.8 – 1.0 El Mokawloon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Mokawloon to win✗
37%
2.70
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
El Gouna FC – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Al Ahly
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Mokawloon – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs AL Masry
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Gouna FC and El Mokawloon.
What is the prediction for El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
On our numbers El Gouna FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 31% and El Mokawloon 37%.
How many goals will there be in El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
Our predicted score is El Gouna FC 0–1 El Mokawloon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon?
El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kahraba Ismailia2