Value bet: Merelbeke to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerelbeke to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Ninove vs Merelbeke preview and prediction
The match
Merelbeke travel to Stadion De Kloppers in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 26 April (14:00 WAT) to face Ninove.
Form guide
Ninove's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Diegem Sport 0–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Merelbeke's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Roeselare Daisel 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Ninove and 2.2 for Merelbeke. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ninove 25%, draw 16%, Merelbeke 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Merelbeke to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Ninove 1–2 Merelbeke. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ninove25%fair 4.03 · @3.00
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.50
Merelbeke59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
3.55Expected goals
1.35Ninove xG
2.20Merelbeke xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ninove 1.3 – 2.2 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merelbeke to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Merelbeke ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
Ninove – last 3
LWL
29 Mar
@ Diegem Sport
0–5
L
15 Mar
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Cercle Brugge II
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Apr
vs Roeselare Daisel
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Hoogstraten
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Tienen
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Zelzate
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Sporting Hasselt
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ninove and Merelbeke.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Ninove vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Ninove have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Merelbeke 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ninove vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ninove vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Ninove 1–2 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Ninove vs Merelbeke?
Ninove vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion De Kloppers.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cercle Brugge II
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
Diegem Sport2
Spouwen-Mopertingen3
Sporting Hasselt1
Dessel Sport0
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Houtvenne
Roeselare Daisel3
Thes Sport1
Tienen1
Hoogstraten1
Zelzate2
Knokke3
Crossing Schaerbeek0
Union Namur0