Value bet: Spouwen-Mopertingen to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen preview and prediction
The match
Diegem Sport host Spouwen-Mopertingen in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Gemeentelijk Sportstadion.
Form guide
Diegem Sport's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Thes Sport 3–6 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Zelzate 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spouwen-Mopertingen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.7 for Diegem Sport and 2.1 for Spouwen-Mopertingen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Diegem Sport 32%, draw 20%, Spouwen-Mopertingen 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Spouwen-Mopertingen to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Diegem Sport 1–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diegem Sport32%fair 3.12 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Spouwen-Mopertingen47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
3.72Expected goals
1.67Diegem Sport xG
2.05Spouwen-Mopertingen xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Diegem Sport 1.7 – 2.1 Spouwen-Mopertingen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spouwen-Mopertingen to win✓
47%
2.11
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Spouwen-Mopertingen ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spouwen-Mopertingen / FT Spouwen-Mopertingen✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Diegem Sport – last 6
LWLWLL
19 Apr
@ Thes Sport
3–6
L
29 Mar
vs Ninove
5–0
W
22 Mar
@ Tienen
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Zelzate
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Hoogstraten
0–3
L
1 Mar
@ Knokke
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spouwen-Mopertingen – last 4
WLWL
19 Apr
vs Zelzate
5–0
W
29 Mar
vs Tienen
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Roeselare Daisel
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Knokke
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diegem Sport and Spouwen-Mopertingen.
What is the prediction for Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
On our numbers Diegem Sport have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Spouwen-Mopertingen 47%.
How many goals will there be in Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
Our predicted score is Diegem Sport 1–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gemeentelijk Sportstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.