Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗69% · @1.28
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos preview and prediction
The match
Olympiakos travel to AEK Arena in the 1. Division on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT) to face AEK Larnaca. AEK Larnaca are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Olympiakos sit 9th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for AEK Larnaca and 0.6 for Olympiakos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 2–0 Olympiakos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Larnaca69%fair 1.45 · @1.28
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.60
Olympiakos9%fair 11.06 · @10.00
2.66Expected goals
2.04AEK Larnaca xG
0.63Olympiakos xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 2.0 – 0.6 Olympiakos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
AEK Larnaca – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Olympiakos – last 2
LD
21 Feb
vs Akritas
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Omonia Aradippou
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Olympiakos.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olympiakos 9%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 2–0 Olympiakos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Akritas1