Pafos travel to Alphamega Stadium in the 1. Division on Sunday 15 February (18:00 WAT) to face AEL. AEL are 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Pafos sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.0 for AEL and 1.7 for Pafos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEL 23%, draw 20%, Pafos 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: AEL 1–1 Pafos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEL23%fair 4.35 · @3.95
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
Pafos57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
2.70Expected goals
0.97AEL xG
1.73Pafos xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: AEL 1.0 – 1.7 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.60
–
Form
AEL
No recent results on record.
Pafos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Pafos.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AEL vs Pafos?
On our numbers AEL have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pafos 57%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Pafos?
AEL vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna3