Value bet: Apoel Nicosia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceApoel Nicosia or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
Ethnikos Achna host Apoel Nicosia in the 1. Division on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ethnikos Achnas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Ethnikos Achna and 1.9 for Apoel Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Apoel Nicosia to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ethnikos Achna 0–2 Apoel Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethnikos Achna16%fair 6.23 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.35
Apoel Nicosia63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
2.68Expected goals
0.81Ethnikos Achna xG
1.88Apoel Nicosia xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Achna 0.8 – 1.9 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apoel Nicosia to win✗
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Apoel Nicosia or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Apoel Nicosia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Ethnikos Achna
No recent results on record.
Apoel Nicosia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Achna and Apoel Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Ethnikos Achna have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Apoel Nicosia 63%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Achna 0–2 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia?
Ethnikos Achna vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ethnikos Achnas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
