Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLouletano to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceLouletano or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Louletano vs FC Serpa preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D sees Louletano take on FC Serpa on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estádio Do Algarve.
Form guide
Louletano's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Oriental Lisboa 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Serpa's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Sintrense 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Louletano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Louletano and 0.6 for FC Serpa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Louletano 59%, draw 22%, FC Serpa 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Louletano 1–0 FC Serpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louletano59%fair 1.68 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
FC Serpa18%fair 5.52 · @4.50
2.05Expected goals
1.43Louletano xG
0.61FC Serpa xG
38%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Louletano 1.4 – 0.6 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louletano to win✓
59%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Louletano or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louletano / FT Louletano✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.39
–
Form
Louletano – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Alverca II
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs O Elvas
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 4
WDWD
8 Mar
vs Sintrense
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Portimonense B
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Atlético Malveira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and FC Serpa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Louletano vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Louletano have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Serpa 18%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Louletano 1–0 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs FC Serpa?
Louletano vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Algarve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Portimonense B0
Moncarapachense3