Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Benfica Castelo Branco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica Castelo Branco to win64% · @1.42
Double chanceBenfica Castelo Branco or draw85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.71
Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir preview and prediction
The match
Benfica Castelo Branco host Samora Correir in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro.
Form guide
Benfica Castelo Branco's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Vitória de Sernache 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samora Correir's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Peniche 5–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Benfica Castelo Branco and 0.7 for Samora Correir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Benfica Castelo Branco to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Benfica Castelo Branco 1–0 Samora Correir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benfica Castelo Branco64%fair 1.57 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.90
Samora Correir15%fair 6.59 · @6.50
2.47Expected goals
1.77Benfica Castelo Branco xG
0.70Samora Correir xG
43%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Benfica Castelo Branco 1.8 – 0.7 Samora Correir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica Castelo Branco to win
64%
1.57
1.42
Double chance
Benfica Castelo Branco or draw
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Benfica Castelo Branco ahead at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica Castelo Branco / FT Benfica Castelo Branco
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.71
–
Form
Benfica Castelo Branco – last 6
DWWLWW
25 Mar
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Marinhense
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Lusitânia
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ UD da Serra
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Lajense
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Eléctrico
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Samora Correir – last 6
WLLWDW
29 Mar
vs Peniche
5–2
W
15 Mar
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Mortágua
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fátima
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Lajense
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica Castelo Branco and Samora Correir.
What is the prediction for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?
Our pick is Benfica Castelo Branco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?
On our numbers Benfica Castelo Branco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Samora Correir 15%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?
Our predicted score is Benfica Castelo Branco 1–0 Samora Correir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?
Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lusitânia1
Marinhense
Lajense
Eléctrico