Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOs Marialvas to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceOs Marialvas or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.72
Os Marialvas vs Fátima preview and prediction
The match
Os Marialvas host Fátima in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede. Os Marialvas are 1st with 19 points from 8 games (top of the table), while Fátima sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Os Marialvas's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Samora Correir 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fátima's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Naval 1893 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Os Marialvas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Os Marialvas and 0.6 for Fátima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 42%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Os Marialvas 62%, draw 24%, Fátima 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Os Marialvas to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Os Marialvas 1–0 Fátima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Os Marialvas62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Fátima14%fair 7.00 · @3.90
2.22Expected goals
1.60Os Marialvas xG
0.61Fátima xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Os Marialvas 1.6 – 0.6 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Os Marialvas to win✓
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Os Marialvas or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Os Marialvas / FT Os Marialvas✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.72
–
Form
Os Marialvas – last 4
WDDW
15 Mar
@ Samora Correir
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Marinhense
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Lusitânia
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Fátima – last 4
LWDD
15 Mar
vs Naval 1893
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lajense
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Samora Correir
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Os Marialvas and Fátima.
What is the prediction for Os Marialvas vs Fátima?
Our pick is Os Marialvas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Os Marialvas vs Fátima?
On our numbers Os Marialvas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fátima 14%.
How many goals will there be in Os Marialvas vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Os Marialvas vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is Os Marialvas 1–0 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Os Marialvas vs Fátima?
Os Marialvas vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Eléctrico4
Peniche2
Lajense3
Lusitânia1