Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLajense to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceLajense or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Lajense vs Lusitânia preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C sees Lajense take on Lusitânia on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima.
Form guide
Lajense's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Mortágua 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lusitânia's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to UD da Serra 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Lajense and 0.6 for Lusitânia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Lajense to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lajense 1–0 Lusitânia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lajense66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Lusitânia10%fair 9.53 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.90Lajense xG
0.64Lusitânia xG
41%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lajense 1.9 – 0.6 Lusitânia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lajense to win✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Double chance
Lajense or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Lajense ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lajense / FT Lajense✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Lajense – last 5
DLDLL
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Fátima
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Samora Correir
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Lusitânia – last 5
LLWLL
15 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Benfica Castelo Branco
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Eléctrico
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Vitória de Sernache
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Os Marialvas
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lajense and Lusitânia.
Our pick is Lajense to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lajense vs Lusitânia?
On our numbers Lajense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitânia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lajense vs Lusitânia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lajense vs Lusitânia?
Our predicted score is Lajense 1–0 Lusitânia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lajense vs Lusitânia?
Lajense vs Lusitânia (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Eléctrico4
Peniche2
Os Marialvas2
Fátima0