Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFátima to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceFátima or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.88
Fátima vs Samora Correir preview and prediction
The match
Fátima host Samora Correir in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Papa Francisco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Fátima and 0.5 for Samora Correir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Fátima to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fátima 1–0 Samora Correir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fátima66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Samora Correir10%fair 9.71 · @4.75
2.05Expected goals
1.59Fátima xG
0.46Samora Correir xG
39%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fátima 1.6 – 0.5 Samora Correir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fátima to win✗
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Fátima or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fátima / FT Fátima✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.88
–
Form
Fátima
No recent results on record.
Samora Correir – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Lajense
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fátima and Samora Correir.
What is the prediction for Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Our pick is Fátima to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Fátima vs Samora Correir?
On our numbers Fátima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samora Correir 10%.
How many goals will there be in Fátima vs Samora Correir?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Our predicted score is Fátima 1–0 Samora Correir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Fátima vs Samora Correir (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Papa Francisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Peniche1