Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.70
Peniche vs Fátima preview and prediction
The match
Fátima travel to Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Saturday 14 February (16:00 WAT) to face Peniche.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Peniche and 1.0 for Fátima. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peniche 41%, draw 24%, Fátima 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Peniche 1–1 Fátima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peniche41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Fátima34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.19Expected goals
1.16Peniche xG
1.03Fátima xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Peniche 1.2 – 1.0 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peniche to win
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peniche / FT Peniche
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.70
–
Form
Peniche
No recent results on record.
Fátima
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peniche and Fátima.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Peniche vs Fátima?
On our numbers Peniche have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fátima 34%.
How many goals will there be in Peniche vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peniche vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is Peniche 1–1 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Peniche vs Fátima?
Peniche vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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