Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Meã to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.50
Vila Meã vs Resende preview and prediction
The match
Vila Meã host Resende in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Vila Meã and 0.5 for Resende. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 38%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Meã 65%, draw 23%, Resende 11%.
Safer route: Vila Meã or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vila Meã to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vila Meã 1–0 Resende. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Meã65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Resende11%fair 8.74 · @4.10
2.23Expected goals
1.69Vila Meã xG
0.54Resende xG
38%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vila Meã 1.7 – 0.5 Resende expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Meã to win✗
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Vila Meã ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.50
–
Form
Vila Meã – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Resende – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Salgueiros
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Meã and Resende.
Our pick is Vila Meã to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Resende?
On our numbers Vila Meã have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Resende 11%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Resende?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Resende?
Our predicted score is Vila Meã 1–0 Resende, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vila Meã vs Resende?
Vila Meã vs Resende (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Vila Mea.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Vila Real0
Alpendorada0
Cinfães0
Salgueiros1
Aparecida1
União Lamas0
Florgrade1
Gouveia0
Leça3
Beira-Mar1
Rebordosa3