Value bet: Salgueiros to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalgueiros to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Resende vs Salgueiros preview and prediction
The match
Salgueiros travel to Estádio Municipal de Fornelos in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 15 February (16:00 WAT) to face Resende.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Resende and 1.1 for Salgueiros. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Salgueiros to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Resende 0–1 Salgueiros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Resende32%fair 3.16 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Salgueiros45%fair 2.23 · @2.55
1.88Expected goals
0.82Resende xG
1.06Salgueiros xG
39%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Resende 0.8 – 1.1 Salgueiros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salgueiros to win✗
45%
2.23
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.16
–
Form
Resende
No recent results on record.
Salgueiros
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Resende and Salgueiros.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Resende vs Salgueiros?
On our numbers Resende have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salgueiros 45%.
How many goals will there be in Resende vs Salgueiros?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Resende vs Salgueiros?
Our predicted score is Resende 0–1 Salgueiros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Resende vs Salgueiros?
Resende vs Salgueiros (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Fornelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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