Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Salgueiros to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalgueiros to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceSalgueiros or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Salgueiros vs Vila Real preview and prediction
The match
Salgueiros host Vila Real in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã.
Form guide
Salgueiros's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Rebordosa 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Vila Real's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Beira-Mar 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Vila Real arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Salgueiros and 0.5 for Vila Real. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Salgueiros 63%, draw 22%, Vila Real 15%.
Value angle: Salgueiros to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Salgueiros 1–0 Vila Real. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salgueiros63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Vila Real15%fair 6.81 · @4.33
1.89Expected goals
1.41Salgueiros xG
0.47Vila Real xG
38%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Salgueiros 1.4 – 0.5 Vila Real expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salgueiros to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Salgueiros or draw✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salgueiros / FT Salgueiros✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.67
–
Form
Salgueiros – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ Rebordosa
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Resende
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vila Real – last 3
WDW
1 Mar
vs Beira-Mar
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Anadia
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Gouveia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Vila Real.
What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Vila Real?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Vila Real?
On our numbers Salgueiros have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vila Real 15%.
How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Vila Real?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Vila Real?
Our predicted score is Salgueiros 1–0 Vila Real, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Salgueiros vs Vila Real?
Salgueiros vs Vila Real (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leça1
Vila Meã1
Aparecida1
Anadia2
Gouveia0
Resende0
Rebordosa1