Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Meã to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Vila Meã vs Aparecida preview and prediction
The match
Aparecida travel to Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT) to face Vila Meã.
Form guide
Vila Meã's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Alpendorada 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aparecida's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Resende 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Aparecida arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Vila Meã and 0.7 for Aparecida. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Meã 65%, draw 22%, Aparecida 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vila Meã to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vila Meã 1–0 Aparecida. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Meã65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Aparecida13%fair 7.60 · @4.50
2.55Expected goals
1.86Vila Meã xG
0.69Aparecida xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vila Meã 1.9 – 0.7 Aparecida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Meã to win✗
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Vila Meã ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Vila Meã – last 3
LDD
1 Mar
@ Alpendorada
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Resende
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aparecida – last 3
WDL
1 Mar
vs Resende
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Beira-Mar
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Meã and Aparecida.
Our pick is Vila Meã to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Aparecida?
On our numbers Vila Meã have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aparecida 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Aparecida?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Aparecida?
Our predicted score is Vila Meã 1–0 Aparecida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vila Meã vs Aparecida?
Vila Meã vs Aparecida (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Beira-Mar1
Leça1
Anadia2
Florgrade2
Gouveia0
Cinfães2
Salgueiros1
Vila Real1
União Lamas1
Alpendorada0
Resende0
Rebordosa1