Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Celoricense to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeloricense to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
Celoricense vs Os Limianos preview and prediction
The match
Celoricense host Os Limianos in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Celorico De Basto. Celoricense are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Os Limianos sit 1st on 18 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Celoricense and 0.7 for Os Limianos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celoricense 64%, draw 21%, Os Limianos 14%.
Safer route: Celoricense or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Celoricense to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celoricense or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celoricense 1–0 Os Limianos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celoricense64%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.25
Os Limianos14%fair 6.92 · @3.60
2.48Expected goals
1.79Celoricense xG
0.69Os Limianos xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Celoricense 1.8 – 0.7 Os Limianos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celoricense to win✗
64%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Celoricense or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Celoricense ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celoricense / FT Celoricense✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Celoricense – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Monção
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Os Limianos – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Vilaverdense
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celoricense and Os Limianos.
What is the prediction for Celoricense vs Os Limianos?
Our pick is Celoricense or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celoricense vs Os Limianos?
On our numbers Celoricense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Os Limianos 14%.
How many goals will there be in Celoricense vs Os Limianos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celoricense vs Os Limianos?
Our predicted score is Celoricense 1–0 Os Limianos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celoricense vs Os Limianos?
Celoricense vs Os Limianos (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Celorico De Basto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Machico2
Vianense3
Vilaverdense1
AR São Martinho1
Mirandela1
Ribeira Brava1
Monção1