Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilaverdense to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Vilaverdense vs Chaves II preview and prediction
The match
Vilaverdense host Chaves II in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cruz do Reguengo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Vilaverdense and 1.0 for Chaves II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vilaverdense 46%, draw 23%, Chaves II 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Vilaverdense 1–0 Chaves II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vilaverdense46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Chaves II32%fair 3.15 · @3.20
2.21Expected goals
1.25Vilaverdense xG
0.97Chaves II xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vilaverdense 1.2 – 1.0 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vilaverdense to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vilaverdense / FT Vilaverdense✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Vilaverdense – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Os Limianos
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vilaverdense and Chaves II.
What is the prediction for Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Vilaverdense have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves II 32%.
How many goals will there be in Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Vilaverdense 1–0 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vilaverdense vs Chaves II?
Vilaverdense vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cruz do Reguengo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Machico2
Vianense3
AR São Martinho1
Mirandela1
Ribeira Brava1
Monção1