Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTirsense to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Tirsense vs Machico preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A sees Tirsense take on Machico on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Tirsense and 0.6 for Machico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tirsense 66%, draw 22%, Machico 12%.
Safer route: Tirsense or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tirsense to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tirsense 1–0 Machico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tirsense66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Machico12%fair 8.22 · @4.00
2.34Expected goals
1.75Tirsense xG
0.59Machico xG
41%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Tirsense 1.7 – 0.6 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tirsense to win✗
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Tirsense or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Tirsense ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tirsense / FT Tirsense✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.92
–
Form
Tirsense
No recent results on record.
Machico
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tirsense and Machico.
Our pick is Tirsense to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tirsense vs Machico?
On our numbers Tirsense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Machico 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tirsense vs Machico?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tirsense vs Machico?
Our predicted score is Tirsense 1–0 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tirsense vs Machico?
Tirsense vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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