Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeloricense to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Monção vs Celoricense preview and prediction
The match
Celoricense travel to Estadio Manuel Lima in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 15 February (16:00 WAT) to face Monção.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Monção and 1.9 for Celoricense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Celoricense to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monção 0–1 Celoricense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monção14%fair 7.14 · @4.75
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Celoricense67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
2.52Expected goals
0.67Monção xG
1.85Celoricense xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Monção 0.7 – 1.9 Celoricense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celoricense to win✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Celoricense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Celoricense ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celoricense / FT Celoricense✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.72
–
Form
Monção
No recent results on record.
Celoricense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monção and Celoricense.
Our pick is Celoricense to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Monção vs Celoricense?
On our numbers Monção have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celoricense 67%.
How many goals will there be in Monção vs Celoricense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monção vs Celoricense?
Our predicted score is Monção 0–1 Celoricense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Monção vs Celoricense?
Monção vs Celoricense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Lima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.