Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTłuchowia to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia preview and prediction
The match
Elana Toruń host Tłuchowia in the III Liga Group 2 on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego.
Form guide
Elana Toruń's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Noteć Czarnków 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tłuchowia's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Stargard Szczeciński 1–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Tłuchowia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Elana Toruń and 2.0 for Tłuchowia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Tłuchowia to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Elana Toruń 1–2 Tłuchowia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elana Toruń23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @4.50
Tłuchowia61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
3.01Expected goals
1.06Elana Toruń xG
1.95Tłuchowia xG
49%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Elana Toruń 1.1 – 2.0 Tłuchowia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tłuchowia to win✓
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Tłuchowia ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tłuchowia / FT Tłuchowia✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Elana Toruń – last 6
LLLLLL
23 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–3
L
17 May
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–4
L
13 May
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–4
L
1 May
@ Victoria Września
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Luzino
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Wda Świecie
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tłuchowia – last 6
LWLDLL
22 May
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–4
L
13 May
vs Lech Poznań II
3–1
W
8 May
@ Polonia Środa
1–3
L
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elana Toruń and Tłuchowia.
What is the prediction for Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?
Our pick is Tłuchowia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?
On our numbers Elana Toruń have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tłuchowia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?
Our predicted score is Elana Toruń 1–2 Tłuchowia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia?
Elana Toruń vs Tłuchowia (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce1
Cartusia Kartuzy0
Zawisza Bydgoszcz2