Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce take on Stargard Szczeciński on Wednesday 13 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejsko-Gminny w Nowych Skalmierzycach.
Form guide
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Luzino 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stargard Szczeciński arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce and 1.5 for Stargard Szczeciński. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Stargard Szczeciński41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
2.91Expected goals
1.43Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce xG
1.48Stargard Szczeciński xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1.4 – 1.5 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
41%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Form
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce – last 5
LDLLL
30 Apr
@ Luzino
3–4
L
19 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Wda Świecie
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
WDDLLW
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Elana Toruń
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stargard Szczeciński 41%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejsko-Gminny w Nowych Skalmierzycach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Szczecin II4
Tłuchowia3
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1