Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLech Poznań II to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II preview and prediction
The match
Lech Poznań II travel to Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in the III Liga Group 2 on Wednesday 13 May (16:00 WAT) to face Tłuchowia.
Form guide
Tłuchowia's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Polonia Środa 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Lech Poznań II's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Cartusia Kartuzy 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Lech Poznań II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Tłuchowia and 2.1 for Lech Poznań II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tłuchowia 23%, draw 13%, Lech Poznań II 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lech Poznań II to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Tłuchowia 1–2 Lech Poznań II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tłuchowia23%fair 4.33 · @4.10
Draw13%fair 7.58 · @4.10
Lech Poznań II64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
3.15Expected goals
1.09Tłuchowia xG
2.06Lech Poznań II xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tłuchowia 1.1 – 2.1 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznań II to win✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznań II ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznań II / FT Lech Poznań II✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Tłuchowia – last 6
LDLLWL
8 May
@ Polonia Środa
1–3
L
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Flota Świnoujście
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lech Poznań II – last 6
DWDWLW
9 May
@ Cartusia Kartuzy
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
6–2
W
25 Apr
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Flota Świnoujście
3–1
W
15 Apr
@ Noteć Czarnków
1–2
L
10 Apr
@ Wda Świecie
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tłuchowia and Lech Poznań II.
What is the prediction for Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Our pick is Lech Poznań II to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
On our numbers Tłuchowia have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Lech Poznań II 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Our predicted score is Tłuchowia 1–2 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II?
Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pogoń Szczecin II4
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce0
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1