Value bet: Chemnitzer FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChemnitzer FC to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceChemnitzer FC or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC preview and prediction
The match
Chemnitzer FC travel to Stadion Lichterfelde in the Regionalliga Nordost on Friday 17 April (18:00 WAT) to face Hertha Zehlendorf.
Form guide
Hertha Zehlendorf's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Hertha BSC II 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Chemnitzer FC's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to BFC Preussen 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Chemnitzer FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Hertha Zehlendorf and 2.1 for Chemnitzer FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hertha Zehlendorf 14%, draw 23%, Chemnitzer FC 64%.
Safer route: Chemnitzer FC or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Chemnitzer FC to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hertha Zehlendorf 0–2 Chemnitzer FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hertha Zehlendorf14%fair 7.36 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
Chemnitzer FC64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
2.94Expected goals
0.87Hertha Zehlendorf xG
2.07Chemnitzer FC xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Hertha Zehlendorf 0.9 – 2.1 Chemnitzer FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chemnitzer FC to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Chemnitzer FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Chemnitzer FC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Hertha Zehlendorf – last 6
LLLLWD
14 Apr
@ Hertha BSC II
1–3
L
7 Apr
vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
0–5
L
4 Apr
@ SV Babelsberg 03
0–4
L
1 Apr
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0–3
L
25 Mar
@ Lokomotive Leipzig
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Eilenburg
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chemnitzer FC – last 6
LDWLWW
8 Apr
@ BFC Preussen
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Eilenburg
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ BSG Chemie Leipzig
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs SV Babelsberg 03
5–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hertha Zehlendorf and Chemnitzer FC.
What is the prediction for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC?
On our numbers Hertha Zehlendorf have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chemnitzer FC 64%.
How many goals will there be in Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our predicted score is Hertha Zehlendorf 0–2 Chemnitzer FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC?
Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lichterfelde.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
